How would the risk of H5N8 outbreaks in poultry in Scotland change if compulsory housing of free-range poultry is imposed, given the current H5N8 epidemic in Europe?

Harriet Auty, Lisa Boden, Dominic Mellor, Nick Sparks


Purpose of risk assessment:

This rapid qualitative risk assessment addresses the question of the impact of housing free-range poultry on the risk of HPAI outbreaks. It was undertaken by EPIC Centre of Expertise on Animal Disease Outbreaks at request of the Animal Health and Welfare Division of Scottish Government.

Overall risk: Overall, housing of poultry is likely to reduce the risk of HPAI infection to domestic poultry. However there is a lack of data on many of the risk factors, meaning the uncertainty is high.

View risk assessment 

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