Scenario planning is a structured foresighting methodology, developed as a medium / long term planning tool for government and corporations. These methodologies have been adapted by EPIC to give insight into how the future of animal health surveillance, as well as Scotland's sheep and cattle industry may impact resilience to animal disease.
On the 5th and 6th October 2017, EPIC scientists held a scenario planning workshop to engage stakeholders in dialogue about the driving forces that have influenced surveillance activities in Scotland today, and consider the future of animal health surveillance in the long-term (2030).
The first EPIC scenario planning workshop was held in 2013 to address the focal question "What will the Scottish sheep industry look like in 2040 and how resilient will it be to livestock disease?" Subsequently in 2014 a follow-up workshop was held to explore the long-term resilience of the Scottish cattle industry.
Scenario planning: The future of the cattle and sheep industries in Scotland and their resiliency to disease. LA Boden, H Auty, P Bessell, D Duckett, J Liu, C Kyle, A McKee, L Sutherland, J Reynolds, BM Bronvoort, IJ McKendrick
Scenario planning as communicative action: Lessons from participatory exercises conducted for the Scottish livestock industry. DG Duckett, AJ Mckee, L Sutherland, C Kyle, LA Boden, H Auty, PR Bessell, IJ McKendrick
Animal Health Surveillance in Scotland in 2030: Using Scenario Planning to Develop Strategies in the Context of “Brexit”. LA Boden, H Auty, A Reeves, G Rydevik, P Bessell, IJ McKendrick
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