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Scenario planning

Scenario planning is a structured foresighting methodology, developed as a medium / long term planning tool for government and corporations. These methodologies have been adapted by EPIC to give insight into how the future of animal health surveillance, as well as Scotland's sheep and cattle industry may impact resilience to animal disease.

Year 2030: What is the future of animal health surveillance in Scotland?

On the 5th and 6th October 2017, EPIC scientists held a scenario planning workshop to engage stakeholders in dialogue about the driving forces that have influenced surveillance activities in Scotland today, and consider the future of animal health surveillance in the long-term (2030).

What will the Scottish sheep and cattle industry look like in 2040 and how resilient will it be to livestock disease?

The first EPIC scenario planning workshop was held in 2013 to address the focal question "What will the Scottish sheep industry look like in 2040 and how resilient will it be to livestock disease?" Subsequently in 2014 a follow-up workshop was held to explore the long-term resilience of the Scottish cattle industry

EPIC Publications

What will the Scottish sheep industry look like in 2040 and how resilient will it be to livestock diseases?

What will the Scottish cattle industry look like in 2040 and how resilient will it be to livestock diseases?

Scenario planning: The future of the cattle and sheep industries in Scotland and their resiliency to disease. LA Boden, H Auty, P Bessell, D Duckett, J Liu, C Kyle, A McKee, L Sutherland, J Reynolds, BM Bronvoort, IJ McKendrick

Scenario planning as communicative action: Lessons from participatory exercises conducted for the Scottish livestock industry. DG Duckett, AJ Mckee, L Sutherland, C Kyle, LA Boden, H Auty, PR Bessell, IJ McKendrick

Animal Health Surveillance in Scotland in 2030: Using Scenario Planning to Develop Strategies in the Context of “Brexit”. LA Boden, H Auty, A Reeves, G Rydevik, P Bessell, IJ McKendrick

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