I am an applied statistician, and mainly collaborate with veterinary epidemiologists, social scientists and economists within the EPIC Centre of Expertise in Animal Disease Outbreaks. I joined the EPIC 2 team in January 2012. Over the period of EPIC 2, I facilitated two scenario planning workshops which aimed to explore changes in the Scottish beef and sheep industry. I also provided statistical support to study
My responsibilities for EPIC 3 are divided into two main areas. Firstly, some of my time is allocated to Topic 3 (3.3.2) `Process control methods for syndromic surveillance`. The aim of this work is to monitor various forms of surveillance data from Scotland, and enable us to develop a statistical framework to provide early detection of significant changes in the disease landscape in Scotland.
My second main responsibility is to provide statistical support for Topic 5 (220.127.116.11) `Hybrid mixture/random-coefficient regression models for typology construction`. Under this topic, farm-level responses to changes in the economic, agricultural and legislative`environment and their subsequent impact on disease policy development will be examined. As part of the data analysis team, I will be developing statistical models to assess farm characteristics with which to distinguish subgroups of famers’ behaviour. Furthermore, novel statistical methods will be developed to assess changes in related behaviours. My personal research interests are applying modern statistical methods fosocio-economic applications.
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